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New Mexico Oil Boom a Political Hot Potato.

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The southeastern section of New Mexico is experiencing a mini oil boom of sorts. The gushers are coming in on a regular basis in this Republican-dominated enclave of wildcatters. But there’s a problem brewing up in Santa Fe, the state capital, where last year the Democrat-dominated legislatures drew up a program of bills dubbed “The Mini-Me Green New Deal” that will require the state to draw all its electricity from renewable energy, not fossil fuels, within the next quarter century, and is proposing hefty hikes in oil royalties — as well as a complete ban on hydraulic fracking. Down near the Texas border, where the oil actually comes from, this doesn’t sit well with hardly anyone, whether they’re in the oil business or not.

New Mexico is now the third largest oil-producing state in the country, and the state budget for 2019 expects to see a surplus for the first time in nearly half a century — nearly 2.5 billion dollars. 

Governor Michelle L. Grisham, a Democrat, wants to use that bonanza to offer free tuition to any in-state college for all residents. This has got Republican sections of New Mexico up in arms, as they charge the Democrats with building a welfare state from the money that the oil wells are providing. 

The only way this war of words and ideals can change is if the Republican retake the legislature this coming year.

Wildfires Wreak Havoc in Northern California.

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Utility officials said late Saturday night that they would have to shut off the power grid for nearly one million users in Northern California either today or tomorrow, because of the fear that raging wildfires, such as the Kincade conflagration, would become uncontrollable and highly destructive in urban areas later today due to low humidity and winds expected to reach 50 mph. In the County of Sonoma the sheriff’s office has now issued an evacuation order for nearly fifty-thousand residents. Deputies, state troopers, and police officers will be conducting a house-to-house search in parts of Sonoma County to make sure all residents in the affected areas are escorted out of the fire zone.

This PG&E initiative would be the largest shut-off of an electric grid in the history of California for wildfire prevention. Today PG&E said the shut-off would affect approximately nine-hundred-and-forty-thousand homes and offices. They plan on cutting the power later today, and expect power relay stations will stay offline until Tuesday, or later.

There had been no word from the Governor’s office, or from state legislators, about this latest blow to the economy of California — not to mention the inconvenience to tens of thousands of residents.

UAW/GM Strike Ends Today

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UAW workers approved the contract their union representatives hammered out with General Motors Corporation earlier today. This approval ends the strike that has shut down dozens of factories throughout the Midwest and the so-called Rust Belt since the beginning of September. The United Auto Workers used their UAW website to make the announcement this morning, bypassing the standard press conference or press release. When asked by reporters why the news was posted online without any previous warning, union officials said that it was deemed the best and quickest way to let members know that the strike was over and that they should expect to be back on their jobs by the beginning of next week. Of the approximately forty-one thousand union members who cast their vote, a fifty-seven percent majority voted in favor of the agreement.

The new contract guarantees full-time workers a top wage of thirty-two dollars an hour after four years of continuous employment and also updates and improves the ability of part-time workers to go full-time if they so wish, after a probationary period that is still to be determined between the union and GM management.

Health care benefits were not a major issue this time around, and so they were for the most part left unchanged. Union workers in American auto plants are already pegged as having the highest standard of health insurance available to workers nationwide.

These Are the 5 Biggest Threats to the European Economy This Fall

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For years, the American economy has outperformed the Eurozone’s. Economists and politicians disagree on how to weight the smorgasbord of factors contributing to the delta between the developed world’s two largest economies, but few argue that the United States doesn’t enjoy significant structural advantages.

On the other hand, what happens in Europe no longer remains confined to Europe — not in an era of nearly unfettered transatlantic trade. That’s why growing signs of a serious slowdown across the pond — and perhaps worse — have so many American business leaders concerned.

With the gaping caveat that predicting the future is difficult and predicting recessions doubly so, it’s high time for American consumers to bone up on looming threats to the European economy this fall. Their menace could well come for North America next.

1. Economic Deterioration Is Happening Faster Than Analysts Expected

Back in February, in a piece that called Europe a “weak link” for the global economy, Bloomberg quoted a seasoned European market observer thusly: “[I]n Europe, things are deteriorating quite fast.”

That stark warning underscored a little-covered reality: That Europe’s economic deterioration is happening faster than the “smart money” expected. It’s never a good thing when the smart money is surprised to the downside.

2. Brexit Looms Over Everything

As the prospect of a no-deal Brexit becomes likelier by the day, European policymakers worry that all the stimulus in the world won’t make up for a chaotic U.K. exit. With no free trade agreement in place with its erstwhile currency union, the U.K.’s economy could turn south, dragging Continental growth with it.

3. China’s Slowing Economy Could Bode Ill for European Trading Partners

China’s economy appears to be slowing at precisely the wrong time for its European trading partners. As Chinese consumers buy fewer European luxury goods — think high-end cars, wines, spirits, watches — those industries could suffer.

4. The Sovereign Debt Crisis Never Really Went Away

The Greek debt crisis captivated the world’s attention — and nearly plunged the planet into recession — back in the early 2010s. Things look better now, but only just; Europe’s policymakers still haven’t fully grappled with the conditions that led to the crisis. Should the economy weaken further, they may wish they had.

5. What’s Good for America Might Not Be Good for Europe

American metals producers were cheered by the Trump administration’s 2018 decision to impose tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, and many remain supportive of the administration’s efforts. But what’s good for American producers isn’t necessarily good for European producers — particularly those affected by the tariffs.

Still Room for Optimism

This isn’t the first age in which bad news has dominated the media cycle. For better or worse, depressing news sells, and it’s been thus since the dawn of modern media.

Still, it’s easy enough to feel down after a spin through the morning news or a lunchtime scan of the headlines — especially on days when the stock markets are in tailspin.

That’s why it’s so important to keep things in perspective. Eventually, a European recession is inevitable; the question is when it comes, not if. Zooming out a bit and taking the long view — knowing that this, too, shall pass — is the surest cure for defeatism. 

Boeing Earnings and Delivery Take a Nosedive.

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Boeing has reported a sharp drop in quarterly deliveries, earning, and, most troubling, in sales today. The steep decline is being blamed on the problems connected with the two fatal crashes of their 737 Max plane jets earlier this year. The 737 Max was grounded after the second deadly crash, and none have flown since then, nor are they expected to in the near future. In fact, reports are that the company has now stopped delivery of the jet on pre-orders. This blow to the corporate bottom line is creating chaos, not only for Boeing, but for the aircraft industry as a whole. 

Earnings were down a disheartening forty-three percent. Sales dropped twenty-one percent, to around twenty billion dollars.

Boeing told its board of directors, prior to their annual stockholder’s meeting, that commercial airline earnings this past summer dropped a massive forty million dollars from the previous year. Deliveries in the same department fell sixty-seven percent during the same quarter. The entire Boeing delivery numbers for that quarter was a meager 62 aircraft.

Boeing is still hoping that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) will give the green light to the Max being able to take to the skies again next spring, but many hedge fund managers are now unloading Boeing stock and have no plans to pick it up again even if the Max does take off next year.

AI Face-Scan Algorithms to Replace HR Interviews?

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HR departments with some of the biggest corporations in America have added a new sci-fi wrinkle to their hiring gambits. A.I. Artificial Intelligence has now become one of the latest and most powerful tools used to process potential employees. If you want to work for one of the bigger concerns in the United States today, be prepared for a mind-bending interview process where your cell phone camera or laptop computers are used by potential employers to analyze your vocabulary, voice modulations, and even facial moment — all to analyze and rank them with other applicants vying for the same job you are angling for. If your score on these and other cyber benchmarks falls below a certain predetermined level, you won’t be offered the job — not matter what. A.I. and algorithms now have more say in hiring policies across the board than government mandates. And if that doesn’t make you lose sleep at night, it should. 

A company called HireVue is now offering a complete HR package that promises to match interviewees with job compatibility using algorithms and Artificial Intelligence, so that companies can actually bypass personal interview if they wish. The hours and money saved by this, says HireVue, can give a company that competitive edge it needs to move to the front of the pack. Is it also an invasion of privacy? That is a question that Congress is not yet even thinking about looking into.

Candidate Sanders says “Billionaires — Who needs ’em?”

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Bernie Sanders, who is running for president in 2020, recently told a major New York newspaper that he is formulating a tax on the most wealthy that will, he hopes, eliminate billionaires. Both he and Sen. Liz Warren are proposing taxes on immoderate wealth that push accumulated assets into the stratosphere of hundreds of billions of dollars. While Democratic presidential candidates have often promised to ‘soak the rich’ if they were put in the White House, so far it has been mostly a bit of campaign razzle dazzle, not something you could take to the bank. But political experts are now eyeing both Sanders and Warren as possible White House residents, since Trump has been losing ground over his withdrawal of troops in Syria and continuing issues with tariffs in China.

CEO of Facebook, Mark Zuckerberg, begged to differ from Sanders this past Friday. Zuckerberg, who is estimated to be worth over seventy billion dollars, told Fox News that taxing billionaires into extinction would be a severe blow to philanthropy and the funding of much cutting edge scientific and medical research.  

Zuckerberg also told Fox News that while he was uneasy with the idea of single individuals possessing huge fortunes in the billions, he thought letting government take the money for its own purposes would be even worse.

New Apple Variety Makes Debut in Produce Aisles this December.

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Washington state agribusiness, in the form of its many apple growers and apple processing plants, is staking everything on a brand new apple — The Cosmic Crisp. Although the name has already produced jokes on late night TV and in stand up routines across the country, apple growers in Washington state, where the apple was first developed and is now the only state with mature orchards ready to harvest, thinks that its new apple will outsell the ubiquitous Honeycrisp starting in December — when it goes on sale in supermarket produce sections across the country.

The name Cosmic Crisp refers to the bright yellow dots on the red skin, which some have compared to stars in the universe. The apple was developed by scientists at Washington State University over concerns that Honeycrisp and other popular varieties are becoming more and more vulnerable to leaf rust and apple borers. It’s estimated that an apple orchard of one hundred acres must now spray nearly two hundred gallons of insecticide each year to prevent insect pests from destroy or marring most of the fruit. 
Cosmic Crisp was developed to withstand the attacks of leaf thrips and to discourage boring insects like beetles and nocturnal moths. If successful, it stands to save the American apple industry millions of dollars each year in spraying and other chemical expenses. 

More Employees Strike as Economy Continues to Expand.

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At first it seems like a conundrum: With the American economy continuing with its decade-long winning streak there are now thousands and thousands of employees around the nation who have gone on strike for higher wages and better benefits. They range from auto workers in Detroit to public school teachers in Chicago — and those are only the most publicised strikes. Dozens of other companies are plagued by workers who have gone out on strike. The key to the puzzle is that almost every striking union member has the same beef — that ten years ago they all accepted the fact that raises and better benefits would have to be put on the back burner while the country rode out a recession; but the hard times are now past and while boardrooms and upper management reap the bounty of a revived economy most blue collar workers are still stuck in an austerity rut. And they want out.

And even though union membership in the United States is at an all-time low of just ten percent (down from twenty-five percent forty years ago), union leaders feel that now is the time for a show-down — as the economy continues to grow and its harder for companies to fill blue collar positions. So economists predict that the public should be prepared for more strikes as long as the economy continues to expand.

E-Signatures to Become Legal for Wills in Most States.

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The ancient practice of making a will to take care of your property and assets dates all the back beyond ancient Greece. As most people understand it, a will here in the United States traces its legal form and basis back to the seventeenth century  and is based on English law. For many centuries one of the prime requirements to validate a will whether hand-written or drawn up by an attorney — or even tapped out on a computer at home — was that it had to be signed in black ink and done so in front of witnesses. 

But the push to make Electronic contract signing legal for trusts and wills, which allows online signatures, is growing. This procedure would make  lawyers and notaries superfluous. Behind this push is a group called Uniform Law Commission. The nonprofit group is advising states on how to pass a Uniform Electronic Last Will and Testament Act, which would normalize cyber-will writing 

Several states already have laws on the books that make e-signatures binding for wills, without the presence of a notary or an attorney. These include Indiana, Nevada, Arizona, and Florida. More states are expected to follow suite in the coming two years.

So the day is fast approaching, at least for Americans, when their last will and testament will not exist as a musty piece of paper, but as something that is stored in the cloud.